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January 17th, 2012 Posted in Uncategorized

Futures and futures options trading involve substantial risk, and therefore are not suitable for all investors.

Welcome back. Hope you enjoyed the long weekend.

We'll be looking for a higher opening this morning for equity and energy futures although they are off their overnight highs. Much of the push is coming from better than expected bond auctions out of Europe despite ratings downgrades that occurred after Friday's close. The key here is the Euro Currency. If you look at a chart, it's almost identical to that of ES H2.

The equity index futures rally that I've been outlining since December 17th is still in tact and moving begrudgingly higher. But that's how these "stealth rallies' happen. A Wall of Worry if you will.

You'll find today's trading levels below. In addition, I've included the trading levels that I generate for longer term trading that calculate levels on a week to week basis.

For ES H2, you'll notice that today's Daily Pivot and Weekly Pivot are almost identical at 1284.00. That said, 1284 will be a critical level if this market is to go higher.

Trade Idea

I'll be looking for ES H2 to fall further from where it's trading now, 1296.50. I'd like to see it fall below 1295.25 to set up a buy at today's S1 or BUY ES H2 at 1295.50 STOP, when and if, ES H2 falls below 1295 AND holds above 1290.00.

If you have questions about this trade or commentary, feel free to call me directly at 312.224.7882.

Have a great trading day - Rob

 

Daily Pivots 1/17/12
EQUITIES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
ES H2 1301.00 1295.25 1284.00 1278.25 1267.00
TF H2 770.4 767.3 761.3 758.2 752.2
NQ H2 2392.58 2383.67 2366.08 2357.17 2339.58
YM H2 12492 12441 12345 12294 12198
ENERGIES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
QM H2 99.992 99.433 98.692 98.133 97.392
QG G2 2.738 2.707 2.678 2.647 2.618
GRAINS R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
ZS H2 1195.3 1176.7 1167.1 1148.5 1138.9
ZC H2 615.8 607.6 603.0 594.8 590.2
ZW H2 612.3 606.5 602.7 596.9 593.1
METALS R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
YG G2 1650.3 1642.5 1634.1 1626.3 1617.9
YI H2 30.214 29.922 29.663 29.371 29.112
Weekly Pivots
Starting 1/17/12
S & P 500 R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
ES H2 1294.60 1290.45 1284.10 1279.95 1273.60
RUSSELL 2K R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
TF H2 768.1 765.0 759.9 756.8 751.7
NASDAQ 100 R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NQ H2 2386.38 2376.42 2363.58 2353.62 2340.78
DOW JONES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
YM H2 12462 12423 12368 12329 12274
MINI CRUDE R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
QM H2 102.887 101.773 100.942 99.828 98.997
MINI NAT GAS R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
QG G2 2.908 2.864 2.826 2.782 2.744
MINI BEANS R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
ZS H2 1222.1 1208.0 1197.7 1183.6 1173.4
MINI CORN R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
ZC H2 643.9 639.0 635.0 630.2 626.1
MINI WHEAT R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
ZW H2 637.0 631.4 624.9 619.3 612.9
MINI GOLD R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
YG G2 1649.3 1641.0 1634.9 1626.6 1620.6
MINI SILVER R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
YI H2 30.292 29.997 29.737 29.443 29.183

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